============================================================================== RACE: Newcastle (AW) ? · 2026-05-19 Total Performance Data - 10 Years At Newcastle Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) Standard · Flat · AW ============================================================================== Status FINISHED ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1. THE LAKES (GB) (#2) 4yo F · Draw 3 · p Connections Jockey James Sullivan Trainer Simon Whitaker Owner James Marshall Pedigree Sire Advertise (GB) Dam Rio's Rosanna (IRE) Damsire Captain Rio Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Market prices Best-odds movement 15:41 251.00 (Bet365) 16:20 201.00 (Bet365) 06:15 251.00 (Bet365) 06:32 301.00 (Bet365) 06:36 251.00 (Bet365) 13:45 301.00 (Bet365) ELO Horse 1407.1 (5 runs, 0 wins, 0.0%) Jockey 1495.1 (6507 runs, 472 wins, 7.3%) Trainer 1400.2 (490 runs, 27 wins, 5.5%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 1m4½f no data Jockey @ 1m4½f no data Jockey @ Newcastle (AW) 919r 56w 6% A/E 0.88 (fair) Jockey × trainer 2r 0w 0% A/E 0.00 (negative) Trainer @ 1m4½f no data Trainer @ Newcastle (AW) 79r 3w 4% A/E 0.38 (negative) Sire progeny @ 1m4½f no data Sire progeny in Class 3 68r 7w 10% A/E 1.11 (value) Dam progeny @ 1m4½f no data Dam progeny in Class 3 1r 0w 0% A/E 0.00 (negative) Damsire grand @ 1m4½f no data Damsire grand in Class 3 91r 6w 7% A/E 0.68 (negative) Past form (last 6 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-19 Newcastle (AW 1m4½f Standard Cla 6/6 250/1 17.00L — 2 James Sullivan Pressed leader - lost second over 3f out - weakened over 2f out - tailed off(op 200/1 tchd 300/1) 2026-04-05 Southwell (AW 1m4f Standard Cla 9/9 200/1 14.00L — — Cam Hardie Reluctant to load - slowly into stride - always behind (jockey said filly was never travelling)(op 100/1) 2026-03-28 Southwell (AW 1m4f Standard Cla 6/6 200/1 32.00L — 4 James Sullivan Slowly away - in rear throughout(op 150/1) 2026-01-21 Catterick 1m7½f Soft Cla 5/9 150/1 16.00L — 56 Sean Quinlan Prominent - weakened over 3f out(op 200/1 tchd 125/1) 2025-11-29 Doncaster 2m½f Soft Cla 6/10 50/1 9.50L — 55 Sean Quinlan Always behind(op 66/1) 2025-10-30 Stratford 2m½f Good To S Cla 12/13 40/1 44.00L — — Harry Bannister Led - headed over 4f out - soon weakened(op 50/1) Comment Pressed leader - lost second over 3f out - weakened over 2f out - tailed off(op 200/1 tchd 300/1) Finishing result Position 6 SP 250/1 (251.000) Beaten (L) 17.00 Total beaten 26.00 In-running comment Pressed leader - lost second over 3f out - weakened over 2f out - tailed off(op 200/1 tchd 300/1) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 2. DANSEUSE (IRE) (#3) 3yo F · Draw 6 Connections Jockey Jack Mitchell Trainer Simon & Ed Crisford Owner Rabbah Racing Pedigree Sire Teofilo (IRE) Dam Ballet Queen (GB) Damsire Dubawi Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Market prices Best-odds movement 15:41 5.50 (Bet365) 17:02 6.00 (Bet365) 06:40 5.50 (Bet365) 07:31 7.00 (10 Bet) 07:38 5.50 (Bet365) 08:17 5.00 (Bet365) 08:27 5.50 (Unibet) 10:49 6.00 (Unibet) 10:53 5.50 (Unibet) 11:22 6.00 (Unibet) 11:28 5.50 (Bet365) ELO Jockey 1714.1 (5804 runs, 873 wins, 15.0%) Trainer 1752.1 (2430 runs, 469 wins, 19.3%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 1m4½f no data Jockey @ 1m4½f no data Jockey @ Newcastle (AW) 396r 70w 18% A/E 0.75 (negative) Jockey × trainer 306r 70w 23% A/E 0.91 (fair) Trainer @ 1m4½f no data Trainer @ Newcastle (AW) 115r 23w 20% A/E 0.80 (negative) Sire progeny @ 1m4½f no data Sire progeny in Class 3 633r 80w 13% A/E 0.82 (negative) Dam progeny @ 1m4½f no data Dam progeny in Class 3 no data Damsire grand @ 1m4½f no data Damsire grand in Class 3 770r 101w 13% A/E 0.90 (fair) Past form (last 1 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-19 Newcastle (AW 1m4½f Standard Cla 3/6 3/1 0.75L — — Jack Mitchell In touch with leaders - headway and went second over 1f out - edged left and no extra final 110yds(op 9/2) Comment In touch with leaders - headway and went second over 1f out - edged left and no extra final 110yds(op 9/2) Finishing result Position 3 SP 3/1 (4.000) Beaten (L) 0.75 Total beaten 2.00 In-running comment In touch with leaders - headway and went second over 1f out - edged left and no extra final 110yds(op 9/2) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 3. HELLO FRIEND (IRE) (#4) 3yo F · Draw 7 Connections Jockey Sam James Trainer K R Burke Owner Forz Europe Ltd Pedigree Sire Frankel (GB) Dam Lucrece (GB) Damsire Pivotal Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Market prices Best-odds movement 15:41 4.50 (Bet365) 03:31 5.00 (Midnite) 05:42 4.50 (Bet365) 05:47 5.00 (Midnite) 05:53 4.50 (Bet365) 06:13 5.00 (Bet365) 07:31 6.00 (Bet365) 08:06 6.50 (Bet365) 08:17 6.00 (Bet365) 08:31 6.50 (Unibet) 09:43 6.00 (Bet365) 09:57 6.50 (Bet365) 10:34 7.00 (Coral) 10:43 6.50 (William Hill) 10:53 6.00 (Bet365) 10:55 6.50 (Coral) 11:01 6.00 (Bet365) 11:28 5.50 (Bet365) 12:27 6.00 (Spreadex) 12:38 5.50 (BetWright) 13:02 5.00 (Bet365) 13:25 5.50 (Bet365) 13:54 6.00 (Spreadex) ELO Jockey 1590.8 (4238 runs, 449 wins, 10.6%) Trainer 1675.9 (7008 runs, 1051 wins, 15.0%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 1m4½f no data Jockey @ 1m4½f no data Jockey @ Newcastle (AW) 704r 54w 8% A/E 0.72 (negative) Jockey × trainer 719r 114w 16% A/E 0.89 (fair) Trainer @ 1m4½f no data Trainer @ Newcastle (AW) 744r 97w 13% A/E 0.83 (negative) Sire progeny @ 1m4½f no data Sire progeny in Class 3 671r 111w 17% A/E 0.88 (fair) Dam progeny @ 1m4½f no data Dam progeny in Class 3 5r 1w 20% A/E 0.97 (fair) Damsire grand @ 1m4½f no data Damsire grand in Class 3 1682r 210w 12% A/E 0.88 (fair) Past form (last 1 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-19 Newcastle (AW 1m4½f Standard Cla 2/6 13/2 1.25L — — Sam James Held up in last - headway on near side of group over 2f out - went second inside final furlong - kept on(op 9/2) Comment Held up in last - headway on near side of group over 2f out - went second inside final furlong - kept on(op 9/2) Finishing result Position 2 SP 13/2 (7.500) Beaten (L) 1.25 Total beaten 1.25 In-running comment Held up in last - headway on near side of group over 2f out - went second inside final furlong - kept on(op 9/2) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 4. LA TOSCA (GB) (#5) 3yo F · Draw 1 Connections Jockey Jason Hart Trainer Charlie Johnston Owner Sheikh Hamdan Bin Mohammed Al Maktoum Pedigree Sire Australia (GB) Dam Lillian Russell (IRE) Damsire Dubawi Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Market prices Best-odds movement 15:41 17.00 (Bet365) 17:02 19.00 (Bet365) 06:26 15.00 (William Hill) 06:32 13.00 (William Hill) 07:31 17.00 (10 Bet) 08:17 21.00 (Bet365) 08:23 23.00 (Bet365) 09:25 21.00 (William Hill) 10:18 26.00 (Bet365) 10:28 29.00 (Bet365) 10:34 26.00 (Bet365) 11:28 23.00 (William Hill) 13:37 26.00 (Bet365) ELO Horse 1486.4 (2 runs, 0 wins, 0.0%) Jockey 1570.1 (8326 runs, 977 wins, 11.7%) Trainer 1633.3 (3386 runs, 450 wins, 13.3%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 1m4½f no data Jockey @ 1m4½f no data Jockey @ Newcastle (AW) 1249r 145w 12% A/E 0.99 (fair) Jockey × trainer 360r 49w 14% A/E 0.89 (fair) Trainer @ 1m4½f no data Trainer @ Newcastle (AW) 294r 44w 15% A/E 1.01 (fair) Sire progeny @ 1m4½f no data Sire progeny in Class 3 216r 27w 12% A/E 0.80 (negative) Dam progeny @ 1m4½f no data Dam progeny in Class 3 2r 0w 0% A/E 0.00 (negative) Damsire grand @ 1m4½f no data Damsire grand in Class 3 770r 101w 13% A/E 0.90 (fair) Past form (last 3 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-19 Newcastle (AW 1m4½f Standard Cla 4/6 22/1 7.00L — 64 Jason Hart Led at steady pace - headed 2f out - soon weakened 2026-04-14 Lingfield (AW 1m4f Standard Cla 3/4 8/1 1.00L — 65 Andrew Mullen Slowly away - soon prominent - in touch with leaders 3f out - hung left and weakened from over 1f out(tchd 15/2) 2026-03-28 Southwell (AW 1m4f Standard Cla 4/6 16/1 2.25L — 60 Andrew Mullen Dwelt start - in touch with leaders - outpaced over 2f out - hampered over 1f out - weakened inside final furlong(op 14/1) Comment Led at steady pace - headed 2f out - soon weakened Finishing result Position 4 SP 22/1 (23.000) Beaten (L) 7.00 Total beaten 9.00 In-running comment Led at steady pace - headed 2f out - soon weakened ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 5. LITTLECOTE (GB) (#6) 3yo F · Draw 2 Connections Jockey P J McDonald Trainer Andrew Balding Owner Denford Stud Pedigree Sire Camelot (GB) Dam Jack Naylor (GB) Damsire Champs Elysees Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Market prices Best-odds movement 15:41 3.00 (Bet365) 17:02 2.88 (Virgin Bet) 05:10 2.75 (Bet365) 06:13 2.88 (Bet365) 06:32 2.75 (Bet365) 06:36 2.88 (William Hill) 06:40 2.75 (Bet365) 07:31 3.00 (10 Bet) 07:38 2.10 (Bet365) 07:40 2.00 (Bet365) 08:17 1.91 (Bet365) 10:28 1.83 (Unibet) 10:36 1.80 (Bet365) 10:49 1.83 (Unibet) 10:53 1.80 (Grosvenor Sports) 11:01 1.73 (Spreadex) 11:20 1.80 (Bet365) 11:22 1.83 (Bet365) 11:28 1.91 (BetMGM) 12:17 1.83 (Bet365) 12:27 1.91 (BetMGM) 12:31 1.83 (Bet365) 12:38 1.91 (Bet365) 12:48 1.83 (Bet365) 12:54 1.91 (Bet365) 13:16 1.83 (Bet365) ELO Horse 1556.0 (4 runs, 0 wins, 0.0%) Jockey 1572.7 (7964 runs, 954 wins, 12.0%) Trainer 1672.5 (9623 runs, 1496 wins, 15.5%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 1m4½f no data Jockey @ 1m4½f no data Jockey @ Newcastle (AW) 1103r 149w 14% A/E 0.91 (fair) Jockey × trainer 301r 61w 20% A/E 1.07 (value) Trainer @ 1m4½f no data Trainer @ Newcastle (AW) 272r 73w 27% A/E 1.19 (value) Sire progeny @ 1m4½f no data Sire progeny in Class 3 415r 37w 9% A/E 0.60 (negative) Dam progeny @ 1m4½f no data Dam progeny in Class 3 6r 1w 17% A/E 0.67 (negative) Damsire grand @ 1m4½f no data Damsire grand in Class 3 92r 12w 13% A/E 0.87 (fair) Past form (last 5 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-19 Newcastle (AW 1m4½f Standard Cla 1/6 5/6F won 75 75 P J McDonald Prominent - went second over 3f out - led and ridden 2f out - soon edged right - kept on well final 110yds(op 4/5 tchd 8/11) 2026-04-27 Wolverhampton 1m4f Standard Cla 2/8 8/15F 0.20L 75 76 P J McDonald Prominent - hung badly right and lost ground over 7f out - headway and pressed leader over 2f out - carried right over 1f out - kept on (jockey said filly hung badly right-handed in early and middle stages of race)(op 4/5) 2026-04-08 Kempton (AW) 1m3f Standard Cla 2/6 10/1 4.50L — 72 Oisin Murphy Led - headed over 1f out - weakened inside final furlong(op 8/1 tchd 7/1) 2026-03-28 Southwell (AW 1m4f Standard Cla 2/6 13/8 2.25L — 69 David Probert Towards rear - headway but hung right from 2f out - kept on but no impression inside final furlong(op 11/8) 2025-10-02 Nottingham 1m½f Good To S Cla 5/7 33/1 1.50L — 53 Callum Hutchinson Slowly into stride - midfield - headway over 6f out - weakened over 1f out(op 40/1 tchd 50/1) Comment Prominent - went second over 3f out - led and ridden 2f out - soon edged right - kept on well final 110yds(op 4/5 tchd 8/11) Finishing result Position 1 SP 5/6F (1.830) Beaten (L) 0.00 Total beaten 0.00 OR after 75 In-running comment Prominent - went second over 3f out - led and ridden 2f out - soon edged right - kept on well final 110yds(op 4/5 tchd 8/11) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 6. TICKER TAPE (GB) (#7) 3yo F · Draw 4 Connections Jockey Robert Havlin Trainer John & Thady Gosden Owner A E Oppenheimer And Sophie Pedigree Sire Time Test (GB) Dam Crimson Ribbon (USA) Damsire Lemon Drop Kid Form / ratings Form string — Last run (days) — OFR — RPR – TS — Market prices Best-odds movement 15:41 3.75 (Bet365) 17:02 4.00 (Bet365) 06:07 4.33 (Midnite) 06:32 4.50 (Bet365) 06:40 5.50 (William Hill) 07:31 7.50 (Bet365) 07:38 8.50 (Bet365) 07:46 9.00 (Bet365) 08:23 8.50 (Bet365) 10:18 9.00 (Coral) 10:43 9.50 (Coral) 11:01 9.00 (Bet365) 11:13 8.00 (Unibet) 11:20 7.50 (BetWright) 11:22 7.00 (Dragon Bet) 11:28 6.50 (Bet365) 11:46 7.00 (Unibet) 11:52 6.50 (Bet365) 11:59 7.00 (Unibet) 12:27 6.50 (Bet365) 12:31 7.00 (Bet365) 13:39 6.50 (Bet365) 13:51 7.50 (Spreadex) ELO Horse 1504.6 (2 runs, 0 wins, 0.0%) Jockey 1685.8 (5907 runs, 821 wins, 13.9%) Trainer 1818.0 (2604 runs, 637 wins, 24.5%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 1m4½f no data Jockey @ 1m4½f no data Jockey @ Newcastle (AW) 222r 58w 26% A/E 0.92 (fair) Jockey × trainer 1005r 212w 21% A/E 0.88 (fair) Trainer @ 1m4½f no data Trainer @ Newcastle (AW) 125r 42w 34% A/E 0.96 (fair) Sire progeny @ 1m4½f no data Sire progeny in Class 3 145r 12w 8% A/E 0.76 (negative) Dam progeny @ 1m4½f no data Dam progeny in Class 3 4r 2w 50% A/E 2.53 (value) Damsire grand @ 1m4½f no data Damsire grand in Class 3 142r 22w 15% A/E 1.02 (fair) Past form (last 3 races) Date Course Dist Going Cl Pos SP Btn OR RPR Jockey 2026-05-19 Newcastle (AW 1m4½f Standard Cla 5/6 11/2 0.10L — 73 Robert Havlin Took keen hold - towards rear - headway over 2f out - weakened over 1f out(tchd 13/2) 2026-04-27 Lingfield (AW 1m2f Standard Cla 4/12 5/4F 1.00L — 72 Robert Havlin Raced wide early - led - headed inside final furlong - no extra final 110yds(op 7/4) 2026-03-31 Wolverhampton 1m½f Standard Cla 3/4 9/2 6.50L — 57 Robert Havlin Dwelt start and awkward start - raced in last - outpaced from over 1f out - went third over 1f out - weakened inside final furlong(op 7/2) Comment Took keen hold - towards rear - headway over 2f out - weakened over 1f out(tchd 13/2) Finishing result Position 5 SP 11/2 (6.500) Beaten (L) 0.10 Total beaten 9.00 In-running comment Took keen hold - towards rear - headway over 2f out - weakened over 1f out(tchd 13/2) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 7. MANEATER (NR) (#NR) 4yo F · 142lb · Draw 5 Connections Jockey Saffie Osborne Trainer Richard Spencer (Newmarket, Suffolk) Owner Phil Cunningham Breeder St Clare Hall Stud Trainer 14d 1/7 (14%) DOB 2022-04-17 Pedigree Sire Golden Horn (GB) Dam Air Kiss (GB) Damsire Red Ransom Form / ratings Form string 23- Last run (days) 180 OFR - RPR 73 TS 37 Market prices All bookmaker prices Bet365 - (-) · EW 2/4 William Hill - (-) · EW 2/4 Coral - (-) · EW 2/4 Betfred - (-) · EW 2/4 Boyle Sports - (-) · EW 2/4 Ladbrokes - (-) · EW 2/4 Unibet - (-) · EW 2/4 BetTom - (-) · EW 2/4 Bet Victor - (-) · EW 2/4 10 Bet - (-) · EW 2/4 BetMGM - (-) · EW 2/4 Grosvenor Sports - (-) · EW 2/4 Virgin Bet - (-) · EW 2/4 talkSPORT BET - (-) · EW 2/4 BetWright - (-) · EW 2/4 LiveScore Bet - (-) · EW 2/4 Betano - (-) · EW 2/4 Dragon Bet - (-) · EW 2/4 CopyBet - (-) · EW 2/4 PricedUp Bet - (-) · EW 2/4 BetAhoy - (-) · EW 2/4 Spreadex - (-) · EW 2/4 BresBet - (-) · EW 2/4 BestOdds - (-) · EW 2/4 7Bet - (-) · EW 2/4 Star Sports - (-) · EW 2/4 Midnite - (-) · EW 2/4 SportingIndex - (-) · EW 2/4 Quinn Bet - (-) · EW 2/4 Betfair Exchange - (-) Best-odds movement 15:41 8.00 (Bet365) 16:20 8.50 (William Hill) 06:13 9.00 (Bet365) 07:31 13.00 (Bet365) ELO Horse 1525.9 (2 runs, 0 wins, 0.0%) Jockey 1625.8 (2711 runs, 322 wins, 11.9%) Trainer 1660.4 (2074 runs, 227 wins, 10.9%) Pedigree & partner analytics Horse @ 1m4½f no data Jockey @ 1m4½f no data Jockey @ Newcastle (AW) 66r 13w 20% A/E 1.54 (value) Jockey × trainer 49r 8w 16% A/E 1.00 (fair) Trainer @ 1m4½f no data Trainer @ Newcastle (AW) 78r 15w 19% A/E 1.00 (fair) Sire progeny @ 1m4½f no data Sire progeny in Class 3 266r 46w 17% A/E 0.90 (fair) Dam progeny @ 1m4½f no data Dam progeny in Class 3 no data Damsire grand @ 1m4½f no data Damsire grand in Class 3 637r 59w 9% A/E 0.72 (negative) Spotlight Golden Horn half-sister to seven winners; promising second of four on Wolverhampton debut (9.4f) in October but she failed to build on that when 8l third here (1m2f) the following month; still early days but this 4yo needs to find more at this new trip on her return. Comment Placed twice in the autumn but it was a backward step latest; needs to find more on return ============================================================================== HEAD-TO-HEAD (2 past meetings between today's runners) ============================================================================== 2026-05-19 · Newcastle (AW) · 1m4½f · Class 3 · Standard Total Performance Data - 10 Years At Newcastle Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) 1 Littlecote (GB) won SP 5/6F 2 Hello Friend (IRE) 1.25L SP 13/2 3 Danseuse (IRE) 0.75L SP 3/1 4 La Tosca (GB) 7.00L SP 22/1 5 Ticker Tape (GB) 0.10L SP 11/2 6 The Lakes (GB) 17.00L SP 250/1 2026-03-28 · Southwell (AW) · 1m4f · Class 3 · Standard Midnite A Next Generation Betting App Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) 2 Littlecote (GB) 2.25L SP 13/8 4 La Tosca (GB) 2.25L SP 16/1 6 The Lakes (GB) 32.00L SP 200/1 ============================================================================== AI RACE VERDICT ============================================================================== Pace scenario: Likely to be a steady tempo over 1m4f with no obvious front-runner; should favour the more proven battle-hardened types like Littlecote and Ticker Tape who finish out their races. Narrative: Small-field novice for fillies dominated by two with the strongest exposed form: Ticker Tape from a red-hot Gosden yard (27% 14-day) and Littlecote, who has been runner-up three times in a row for Balding. Maneater has the next best RPR but has been off 180 days. The unraced pair Danseuse (Crisford) and Hello Friend (Frankel filly, Burke) are speculative but lack any rating evidence. The Lakes is held on form. Recommended: Ticker Tape Two-placed maiden form (RPR 70) for the in-form Gosden yard (14d 27% strike, trainer Elo 1818) with experienced Havlin retaining the ride after 22 days. The progressive type most likely to take a step forward today. Alternative: Littlecote Top RPR (74) and OFR (75) in the field, with three consecutive seconds (form 5-222) showing she's bang there each time. Balding/McDonald are reliable and she's quickly back after 22 days; just needs to find a little more from the front. ============================================================================== Generated 2026-05-29 22:11 UTC · HorseRacingValue.com · race rac_11948014